Showing posts with label Dodd-Frank. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Dodd-Frank. Show all posts

Wednesday, December 14, 2011

Dodd-Frank "Swap" Definition: Industry Reaction (Part 1)

In an earlier post I attempted to analyze the definition of "swap" in the Dodd-Frank Act.  I have come across some articles about the definition which are worth looking at to see if they teach us anything about definitions in general.

The first is an article from Risk.net, an online magazine about financial risk management, entitled "US power bodies call for clarity on Dodd-Frank “swap” definition" (http://www.risk.net/energy-risk/news/2096674/power-bodies-clarity-dodd-frank-swap-definition).  The article was published on 2011-07-26.  It presents the opinion of the National Rural Electric Cooperative Association that Dodd-Frank has defined "swap" too broadly.  The definition would include transactions "long used to manage electric grid reliability" - essentially putting a rural electric cooperative in the same category as Goldman Sachs.  These transactions are used to optimize generation resources to ensure grid reliability.  The industry wants all these types of transactions exempted from the Dodd-Frank definition of "swap".  Ominously, however, the FERC's (Federal Energy Regulatory Commission)  general counsel, Michael Bardee, also stated that “a detailed listing of all such excluded commercial and merchandising agreements commonly used in the electric and natural gas industries is not feasible”. 

Here are my take-aways from this story:
  • I would guess that the individuals responsible for the definition of "swap" were not aware of these electric energy transactions, based on the fact that there is no response justifying the inclusion of such transactions in the definition of "swap".  This illustrates the difficulty of trying to produce a definition without complete understanding of the ontology covered by the definition.  How does one obtain such a complete understanding?  I am not sure I have the answer to that.
  • The individuals responsible for the definition of "swap" were certainly not aware of the consequences for participants in certain subsectors of the energy industry.  Thus we can clearly see that poor definitions play an important role in "the law of unintended consequences".  How can effects be predicted accurately at the point in time that a definition is made?  It would seem an even more complete understanding of the ontology covered is needed.  But how to achieve this is something I do not know how to do. 
  • A legislative definition should be right from the outset.  That is quite different to other kinds of definition, which can be gradually improved over time (e.g. those of science).  A legislative definition, such as provided for "swap" is part of a more general act of creation - the overall Dodd-Frank Act in this case.  I would argue that if the conceptual system created is to be stable, the definitions of the concepts involved must be complete and coherent.  If this is not done, then the system will be unstable, and will create problems until such time as it is modified (or crashes).  Regrettably, we cannot model this kind of system to see what behavior is exhibited, and then optimize the definitions to achieve the intended results.
  • Mr. Bardee's comment about the impossibility of creating an exhaustive list of types of contract to exclude is worrying because he is dealing with a subset of the general problem.  It is unclear why such a list cannot be produced.  Maybe different types of contract come and go frequently over time.  However, if this kind of difficulty exists in this narrow area, there is pretty much no hope for an adequate definition at the higher level of "swap".  Perhaps an approach would be to try to establish completeness in a sample of small subareas under a definition.  If completeness cannot be achieved, then it is pointless to continue with the higher level definition.   

Tuesday, December 6, 2011

Dodd-Frank "Swap" - A Definitional Disaster?

The Dodd-Frank Act is intended to reform the financial system in order to reduce the chance of any future systemic failure.  Obviously, it is very important, and one of the most important parts of Dodd-Frank revolves around swaps.  It may be recalled that lack of understanding about Credit Default Swaps (CDS) was a big part of the financial crisis that began in 2008 - and specifically caused AIG to fail.  CDS, however, are only one species of swap.  Prior to 2008 there had been little regulation of swaps.

Before we go further, there is one other piece of background for those unfamiliar with the sausage-making process of US financial regulation.  An Act of Congress is just the beginning.  Agencies of the US government must take the Act and turn it in to rules - usually many rules - and then enforce them.  This means that if there is a problem in the Act, there can be difficulties across many rules.

Back to swaps.  The Dodd-Frank definition of "swap" is given below.  It is a pretty mind-numbing read.  This definition clearly shows that there is no simple definition of a swap.  The definition has a long list of concepts that are included, and a long list of concepts that are excluded (Paragraph B).

What we have is a collection of "things" that the government wants to be regulated in an identical manner - as "swaps".  However, the only consistency is the way these "things" are to be regulated.  There is no consistency - no common attributes intrinsic to these things - that distinguishes them from other things.  If there was a set of common characteristics, then these would presumably have been listed.  Instead, we get enumeration of members of the class (a practice frowned upon by traditional logicians). This is seen especially in the items labelled "(I)" through "(XXII)".  These are part of the definition, not a list of illustrations.

The definition even abstracts from enumeration of members when it says:  "(iv) that is an agreement, contract, or transaction that is, or in the future becomes, commonly known to the trade as a swap".  

I was shocked when I first read this.  How can a definition simply point back to common usage of a term?  The government is throwing the burden of definition back on the speech community!  Even then, what is meant by "the trade" and "commonly known" is puzzling (I cannot find definitions for these terms in the Act).  Also, if some bright investment banker figures out a new product that he or she brands as something other than a swap, then they can presumably escape regulation.  However, there is an "escape hatch" - the Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) is delegated the authority to broaden the definition, which should prevent this kind of problem.  But suppose something gets called a "swap" that is nothing like a "real swap".  That sort of thing happens all the time in the evolution of language.  There is no way the definition can be modified to exclude it as the Act is written

There is a lot more to be said on the Dodd-Frank definition of "swap" and we will cover more topics in future posts.  This post is merely an appetizer to what promises to be a true feast of lessons that can be drawn about definitions.

Here is the defintion of "swap" - only subparagraphs (A) and (B) of the text - subparagraphs (C) through (F) are not part of the general definition.  The full text of the Act can be found at: www.sec.gov/about/laws/wallstreetreform-cpa.pdf - please refer to Section 721 and scroll down until you see "SWAPS".

‘‘(47) SWAP.—
‘‘(A) IN GENERAL.—Except as provided in subparagraph (B), the term ‘swap’ means any agreement, contract, or transaction—
‘‘(i) that is a put, call, cap, floor, collar, or similar option of any kind that is for the purchase or sale, or based on the value, of 1 or more interest or other rates, currencies, commodities, securities, instruments of indebtedness, indices, quantitative measures, or other financial or economic interests or property of any kind;
‘‘(ii) that provides for any purchase, sale, payment, or delivery (other than a dividend on an equity security) that is dependent on the occurrence, nonoccurrence, or the extent of the occurrence of an event or contingency associated with a potential financial, economic, or commercial consequence;
‘‘(iii) that provides on an executory basis for the exchange, on a fixed or contingent basis, of 1 or more payments based on the value or level of 1 or more interest or other rates, currencies, commodities, securities, instruments of indebtedness, indices, quantitative measures, or other financial or economic interests or property of any kind, or any interest therein or based on the value thereof, and that transfers, as between the parties to the transaction, in whole or in part, the financial risk associated with a future change in any such value or level without also conveying a current or future direct or indirect ownership interest in an asset (including any enterprise or investment pool) or liability that incorporates the financial risk so transferred, including any agreement, contract, or transaction commonly known as—
‘‘(I) an interest rate swap;
‘‘(II) a rate floor;
‘‘(III) a rate cap;
‘‘(IV) a rate collar;
‘‘(V) a cross-currency rate swap;
‘‘(VI) a basis swap;
‘‘(VII) a currency swap;
‘‘(VIII) a foreign exchange swap;
‘‘(IX) a total return swap;
‘‘(X) an equity index swap;
‘‘(XI) an equity swap;
‘‘(XII) a debt index swap;
‘‘(XIII) a debt swap;
‘‘(XIV) a credit spread;
‘‘(XV) a credit default swap;
‘‘(XVI) a credit swap;
‘‘(XVII) a weather swap;
‘‘(XVIII) an energy swap;
‘‘(XIX) a metal swap;
‘‘(XX) an agricultural swap;
‘‘(XXI) an emissions swap; and
‘‘(XXII) a commodity swap;
‘‘(iv) that is an agreement, contract, or transaction that is, or in the future becomes, commonly known to the trade as a swap; ‘‘(v) including any security-based swap agreement which meets the definition of ‘swap agreement’ as defined in section 206A of the Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act (15 U.S.C. 78c note) of which a material term is based on the price, yield, value, or volatility of any security or any group or index of securities, or any interest therein; or
‘‘(vi) that is any combination or permutation of, or option on, any agreement, contract, or transaction described in any of clauses (i) through (v).


‘‘(B) EXCLUSIONS.—The term ‘swap’ does not include—
‘‘(i) any contract of sale of a commodity for future delivery (or option on such a contract), leverage contract authorized under section 19, security futures product, or agreement, contract, or transaction described in section 2(c)(2)(C)(i) or section 2(c)(2)(D)(i);
‘‘(ii) any sale of a nonfinancial commodity or security for deferred shipment or delivery, so long as the transaction is intended to be physically settled;
‘‘(iii) any put, call, straddle, option, or privilege on any security, certificate of deposit, or group or index of securities, including any interest therein or based
on the value thereof, that is subject to—
‘‘(I) the Securities Act of 1933 (15 U.S.C. 77a et seq.); and
‘‘(II) the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (15 U.S.C. 78a et seq.);
‘‘(iv) any put, call, straddle, option, or privilege relating to a foreign currency entered into on a national securities exchange registered pursuant to section 6(a) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (15 U.S.C. 78f(a));
‘‘(v) any agreement, contract, or transaction providing for the purchase or sale of 1 or more securities on a fixed basis that is subject to—
‘‘(I) the Securities Act of 1933 (15 U.S.C. 77a et seq.); and
‘‘(II) the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (15 U.S.C. 78a et seq.);
‘‘(vi) any agreement, contract, or transaction providing for the purchase or sale of 1 or more securities on a contingent basis that is subject to the Securities
Act of 1933 (15 U.S.C. 77a et seq.) and the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (15 U.S.C. 78a et seq.), unless the agreement, contract, or transaction predicates the purchase or sale on the occurrence of a bona fide contingency that might reasonably be expected to affect or be affected by the  creditworthiness of a party other than a party to the agreement, contract, or transaction;
‘‘(vii) any note, bond, or evidence of indebtedness that is a security, as defined in section 2(a)(1) of the Securities Act of 1933 (15 U.S.C. 77b(a)(1));
‘‘(viii) any agreement, contract, or transaction that is—
‘‘(I) based on a security; and
‘‘(II) entered into directly or through an underwriter (as defined in section 2(a)(11) of the Securities Act of 1933 (15 U.S.C. 77b(a)(11)) by the issuer
of such security for the purposes of raising capital, unless the agreement, contract, or transaction is entered into to manage a risk associated with capital raising;
‘‘(ix) any agreement, contract, or transaction a counterparty of which is a Federal Reserve bank, the Federal Government, or a Federal agency that is
expressly backed by the full faith and credit of the United States; and
‘‘(x) any security-based swap, other than a securitybased swap as described in subparagraph (D). 

...
(b) AUTHORITY TO DEFINE TERMS.—The Commodity Futures Trading Commission may adopt a rule to define—
(1) the term ‘‘commercial risk’’; and
(2) any other term included in an amendment to the Commodity Exchange Act (7 U.S.C. 1 et seq.) made by this subtitle.
(c) MODIFICATION OF DEFINITIONS.—To include transactions and entities that have been structured to evade this subtitle (or an amendment made by this subtitle), the Commodity Futures Trading Commission shall adopt a rule to further define the terms ‘‘swap’’, ‘‘swap dealer’’, ‘‘major swap participant’’, and ‘‘eligible contract participant’’.